Unofficial fan countdown News · Trailers · Theories · Zero spoilers policy Since '24

The wait ends

LAUNCHDAY

November 19, 2026 · The big one

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Rumor tracker

Every claim, graded

We file every leak in three drawers — confirmed, likely, rumor — and we show our confidence in the open. When a claim changes drawers, the list hears about it first.

Confirmed

Photo mode and a fully drivable coastline

Shown end-to-end in the official gameplay deep-dive. We clocked eleven minutes of uncut driving.

Confidence92%
Confirmed

November 19 is locked

Restated on the latest earnings call, no hedging this time. The date has moved once and only once.

Confidence88%
Likely

Two-disc physical release

Three regional retail listings agree on the SKU. None are official, but they never agree by accident.

Confidence71%
Likely

Dynamic hurricane-season events

Weather strings surfaced twice in datamines, months apart. Twice is a pattern, not a typo.

Confidence64%
Rumor

Playable arcade cabinets in-world

A single leaked frame, heavily compressed. We want it to be true, which is exactly why we grade it low.

Confidence38%
Rumor

Day-one soundtrack vinyl box

One blurry shipping manifest from a forum account with no history. Filed, flagged, not believed.

Confidence22%

What we know

The road to November 19

Dec ’23

Trailer 1 drops and breaks every record we track. The countdown on this page starts the same night.

May ’25

Trailer 2: the coastline, the heat shimmer, the era. Frame-by-frame threads run for six straight weeks.

Feb ’26

The delay. The date moves once — to November 19 — and the community exhales instead of imploding.

May ’26

Trailer 3 lands. Every street sign is mapped inside 48 hours. We publish the full location board.

Jul ’26

Preorder pages go live across retailers. The two-disc listing appears — see the tracker above.

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days out

One link settles every “wait, when is it out again?” at the table.